Kumba Production and Sales Report for the third quarter ended 30 September 2025
28 October, 2025
Kumba's Chief Executive, Mpumi Zikalala, said: “’Kumba continued to deliver a solid performance in the third quarter of the year (Q3 2025), thanks to the commitment from our teams on safety and operational excellence. Improved logistics stability has also contributed to production and sales performance. This positions us well to deliver on our market guidance for the full year 2025.
“Safety is our first value and number one priority, and we are encouraged by the progress in our total recordable injury frequency rate (TRIFR) which has reduced to 0.97 in Q3 2025, while maintaining our fatality-free production record of more than nine years at Sishen and over two years at Kolomela.
“Strong steel margins underpinned Chinese iron ore demand in the third quarter, keeping prices elevated despite an ample supply of steel. Year-to-date (YTD), Kumba achieved an average realised free-on-board (FOB) export price of US$94 per wet metric tonne (wmt), 12% above the average benchmark iron ore price of US$84/wmt.
“Our ultra-high-dense-media-separation (UHDMS) technology project to treble Sishen’s premium-grade iron ore product volumes remain a strategic priority, given the margin enhancement we expect it to bring. We continue to make good progress on the construction of the first coarse and fines modules, as well as the modular substation.”
Overview
- TRIFR of 0.97 for 2025 YTD (2024 YTD: 0.86) improved from 1.18 in the first half of the year (H1 2025) as our safety programmes gain further impetus in Q3 2025.
- Total production decreased by 2% to 9.2 Mt (Q3 2024: 9.4 Mt), due to plant maintenance interventions at Sishen ahead of the main tie-in of the UHDMS in 2026.
- Total sales increased by 7% to 9.6 Mt (Q3 2024: 9.0 Mt), reflecting improved rail performance.
- Finished stock were broadly flat at 7.3 Mt (Q2 2025: 7.4 Mt), with 5.5 Mt on-mine and 1.8 Mt at Saldanha Bay Port.
- Average YTD realised FOB export iron ore price of US$94/wmt (2024 YTD: US$94/wmt), 12% above the average benchmark price of US$84/wmt (2024 YTD: US$90/wmt).
| % Q3 2025 |
% Q3 2025 |
% YTD 2025 |
|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | Q4 | Q3 | vs | vs | YTD | YTD | vs | ||
| 000 tonnes | 2025 | 2025 | 2025 | 2024 | 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2025 | 2025 | 2024 | YTD 2024 | |
| Iron ore waste | 44,175 | 39,817 | 40,485 | 27,835 | 39,414 | 12 | 11 | 124,477 | 127,871 | (3) | |
| Iron ore production | 9,247 | 9,257 | 8,990 | 7,826 | 9,446 | (2) | - | 27,494 | 27,905 | (1) | |
| Iron ore sales | 9,625 | 9,701 | 9,007 | 9,135 | 9,027 | 7 | (1) | 28,333 | 27,116 | 4 | |
| Kumba waste | 44,175 | 39,817 | 40,485 | 27,835 | 39,414 | 12 | 11 | 124,477 | 127,871 | (3) | |
| Sishen | 36,744 | 33,341 | 34,631 | 25,100 | 34,073 | 8 | 10 | 104,716 | 108,840 | (4) | |
| Kolomela | 7,431 | 6,476 | 5,854 | 2,735 | 5,341 | 39 | 15 | 19,761 | 19,031 | 4 | |
| Kumba production by mine | 9,247 | 9,257 | 8,990 | 7,826 | 9,446 | (2) | - | 27,494 | 27,905 | (1) | |
| Sishen | 6,347 | 6,427 | 5,955 | 5,687 | 6,767 | (6) | (1) | 18,729 | 19,974 | (6) | |
| Kolomela | 2,900 | 2,830 | 3,035 | 2,139 | 2,679 | 8 | 2 | 8,765 | 7,931 | 11 | |
| Kumba sales | 9,625 | 9,701 | 9,007 | 9,135 | 9,027 | 7 | (1) | 28,333 | 27,116 | 4 | |
| Lump | 6,391 | 6,418 | 6,127 | 6,071 | 6,191 | 3 | - | 18,936 | 17,736 | 7 | |
| Fines | 3,234 | 3,283 | 2,880 | 3,064 | 2,836 | 14 | (1) | 9,397 | 9,380 | - | |
Safety performance
Safety is our first value, and our commitment is underscored by our fatality-free track record of over nine years at Sishen and two years at Kolomela. Kumba’s 2025 YTD TRIFR of 0.97 relative to 0.86 in the comparative 2024 YTD period, was driven by an increase in low energy incidents in the first quarter 2025 and reduced man hours following our business reconfiguration last year. However, good progress has been made compared to a TRIFR of 1.18 in H1 2025 as a result of constructive collaboration with service partners on fatal risk management practices and embedding the Company’s safe way of work.
Mining, production, and unit costs
Kumba is on track to deliver on the full year 2025 waste mining and production guidance of 166 – 182 Mt and 35 – 37 Mt, respectively.
During Q3 2025, total waste mining increased by 12% to 44.2 Mt (Q3 2024: 39.4 Mt), underpinned by an 8% increase at Sishen to 36.7 Mt (Q3 2024: 34.1 Mt) and a 39% increase at Kolomela to 7.4 Mt (Q3 2024: 5.3 Mt). Performance was driven by a combination of the business reconfiguration impact in 2024 and improved equipment efficiency and operating times in Q3 2025.
Total production decreased by 2% to 9.2 Mt (Q3 2024: 9.7 Mt), driven by a 6% decrease in Sishen’s production to
6.3 Mt (Q3 2024: 6.8 Mt). This was partly mitigated by an 8% increase in Kolomela production to 2.9 Mt (Q3 2024: 2.7 Mt), reflecting our flexible production approach. The decrease in production at Sishen relates to plant maintenance interventions brought forward in preparation for the main tie-in of our UHDMS technology in 2026. Relative to the second quarter of this year, total production was consistent, demonstrating an ongoing focus on operational stability and capability.
Sishen’s unit cost is expected to end the year within guidance of between R510 – 540/tonne. At Kolomela, the increase in production, could potentially result in the unit cost improving to below the full year guidance of between R430 – 460/tonne. Our C1 unit cost target has been maintained at US$39/tonne (based on a foreign exchange rate of R18.60/US$).
Logistics, sales, and the market environment
Ore railed to port increased by 12% to 10.2 Mt (Q3 2024: 9.1 Mt), demonstrating improved rail stability facilitated by the collaborative partnership between the Ore User’s Forum and Transnet on the ore corridor restoration programme.
Total finished stock levels were broadly flat at 7.3 Mt (Q2 2025: 7.4 Mt). Due to the improvement in rail performance, on-mine stock reduced to 5.5 Mt (Q2 2025: 6.4 Mt) and stock at Saldanha Bay Port increased to 1.8 Mt (Q2 2025: 1.0 Mt).
As a result of improved rail stability and port stock levels, sales increased by 7% to 9.6 Mt (Q3 2024: 9.0 Mt). Given this and the successful completion of the annual logistics maintenance, sales volumes are expected to end the year closer to the upper end of the guidance of 35 – 37 Mt, subject to logistics performance in the remainder of the year.
Iron ore prices were supported by improved profitability in China, due to lower raw material input costs. Blast furnace profitability rates at 247 mills were on average around 35% in the comparative 2024 period, and this year profitability rates increased to 60%. The improved demand for steel was largely driven by infrastructure, and exports from China, particularly in the auto and manufacturing sector, whilst the property market remained subdued. Steel production in markets outside of China came under pressure from robust Chinese exports. However, iron ore supply has remained relatively flat with growth in Brazil offset by a 40% reduction in supply from India, providing further price support.
On average YTD, Kumba’s Lump:Fine ratio was 67:33 (2024 YTD: 65:35) and iron content at 64.0% (2024 YTD: 64.1%). An average YTD realised FOB export iron ore price was achieved of US$94/wmt (2024 YTD: US$94/wmt), 12% above the average YTD benchmark price of US$84/wmt (2024 YTD: US$90/wmt).
Full year 2025 guidance
Kumba's full year 2025 guidance is unchanged, subject to Transnet’s logistics constraints (including the ramp-up of the rail and port activities following the annual maintenance shutdown) and is as follows:
| Guidance | FY2025 |
|---|---|
|
|
|
| Total sales (Mt) (wmt) | 35 - 37 |
| Total production (Mt) (wmt) | 35 - 37 |
| Sishen | ~26 |
| Kolomela | ~10 |
| Waste mining (Mt) (dmt) | 166 - 182 |
| Sishen | 140 - 150 |
| Kolomela | 26 - 32 |
| On-mine unit cost (R/t) (dmt) | |
| Sishen | 510 - 540 |
| Kolomela | 430 - 460 |
| C1 unit cost (US$/t) (wmt) | ~39 |
Volumes excluding waste mining, and on-mine unit costs, are reported as wmt. Product is shipped with ~1.5% moisture and the 2025 C1 unit cost guidance is calculated at a foreign exchange rate of R18.60/US$. Production and sales volumes referred to for the period are 100% of Sishen Iron Ore Company Proprietary Limited (SIOC), and attributable to shareholders of Kumba as well as to the non-controlling interests in SIOC.
This announcement contains forward-looking statements which are based on the Company’s current beliefs and expectations about future events. The operational and financial information contained in this announcement have not been reviewed and reported on by the Company’s external auditors and is the responsibility of the board of directors of Kumba.
Johannesburg
28 October 2025
Sponsor
RAND MERCHANT BANK (A division of FirstRand Bank Limited)
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